Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000279 0.000313 0.000349 0.000391 0.000439 0.000492 0.000554
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000213 0.000259 0.000314 0.000384 0.000472 0.000577 0.000715
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000178 0.000231 0.000298 0.000389 0.000511 0.000671 0.000896
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000154 0.000210 0.000285 0.000392 0.000545 0.000757 0.001076
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000130 0.000184 0.000260 0.000375 0.000546 0.000796 0.001193
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000117 0.000172 0.000251 0.000377 0.000573 0.000873 0.001375
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000109 0.000166 0.000252 0.000393 0.000623 0.000989 0.001634
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000098 0.000153 0.000239 0.000385 0.000632 0.001041 0.001793
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000086 0.000138 0.000221 0.000366 0.000620 0.001057 0.001892
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000080 0.000132 0.000217 0.000371 0.000648 0.001143 0.002127
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000130 0.000221 0.000388 0.000701 0.001280 0.002478
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000123 0.000212 0.000383 0.000712 0.001340 0.002686
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000116 0.000206 0.000383 0.000733 0.001424 0.002964
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000109 0.000197 0.000375 0.000739 0.001481 0.003197
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000105 0.000194 0.000379 0.000770 0.001594 0.003572
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000101 0.000191 0.000382 0.000799 0.001705 0.003961
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000092 0.000178 0.000366 0.000782 0.001714 0.004110
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000089 0.000175 0.000367 0.000807 0.001820 0.004519
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000088 0.000178 0.000383 0.000866 0.002015 0.005190
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000083 0.000171 0.000375 0.000867 0.002071 0.005504
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000037 0.000077 0.000160 0.000357 0.000842 0.002058 0.005622
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000036 0.000075 0.000158 0.000361 0.000873 0.002191 0.006185
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000035 0.000075 0.000162 0.000378 0.000939 0.002426 0.007099